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Local Government Fiscal Resiliency Study
Local Government Fiscal Resiliency Study

Local Government Fiscal Resiliency Study:  Building a Data-driven Model to assess the Capability of Local Governments and their Communities to Maintain Core Public Services

Between July 2017 and May 2018 Portland State University’s Center for Public Service was engaged by the North Star Civic Foundation to conduct the Local Government Fiscal Resiliency Study.  The study developed a methodology, collected and presented information on the financial resiliency of 35 governments in the State of Oregon. 

  • It is meant to be a starting point for further discussion on how to improve the fiscal resilience of local governments in Oregon.
  • While we consider the data to be accurate, it is not formatted or presented in a way that we would consider a standard report.
  • We believe this methodology is unique and may in the future be expanded and extended through academic papers or additional presentations.

The study identify areas of:

1. Solvency: Projected Available Resources / FTE

  • Ratio of Revenue / Expenses – net balance current, then forecasted to 2022
  • Divide this by staff FTE/ population – current, then forecasted

2. Asset Condition: Undepreciated capital assets (CAFR)

3. Debt load: Debt / Expense ratio (CAFR)


Click here for a graph showcasing Oregon's diverse economy

 

The project was a collaboration of the people identified in the final product authorship page to develop the methodology and identify the locations to analyze. While the whole team assisted on all sections, authors of specific sections were:

  1. Phil Keisling: Results in Brief – Local Government Fiscal Resilience: Building a Data-driven Model to Assess the Capability of Local Governments and their Communities to Maintain Core Public Services.
  2. Bob Winthrop: Methodology Section 1: The Oregon Local Government Resiliency Study: In the future, will governments in Oregon be able to provide the same level of service that they have in the past?
  3. Katelyn Wilkins: Methodology Section 2: a. Interview Summary, b. Selected Abstracts from Articles that Assisted in Informing this Study, c. Data Collection, and d. Selection of Jurisdictions.

Kent Robinson: Academic paper and presentation delivered March 9, 2019 at the American Association of Public Administration Conference in Washington, DC.

Click here to read Kent Robinson Ph.D. academic paper

Click here to view the powerpoint presentation on Local Government's Fiscal Health

Click here to view the full report.