The Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering is pleased to announce Susan Wherry's M.S. Thesis Defense: "Climate Change Effects and Water Vulnerability in the Molalla Pudding Subbasin, Oregon, USA."
Date: Friday, January 27, 2012
Location: Engineering Building 202L
Adviser: Dr. Hamid Moradkhani
Summary: Water management plans are typically developed using historical data records and historical return periods for extreme events, such as floods or droughts. Since these analyses of return periods typically assume a certain degree of stationarity (constant mean, standard deviation, distribution) in hydrologic variables, the potential future impacts of climate change are excluded. In developing water management plans, predicted changes to climate variables should at least be considered to evaluate the degree of non-stationarity that may exist in the future. In this way, regions most sensitive to climate change can be identified and managed appropriately. This study evaluates the potential effects of climate change over the Molalla Pudding subbasin and develops water vulnerability indices for twelve cities of the basin in order to determine which regions are most at risk to water vulnerability in the future.